Return to Insights

Obama Praises Harris at DNC with 75 Days Until Election Day

Word of the week Wednesday, praise for Harris ahead of election, benchmark rates held by Turkey, and record highs for gold prices.

Word of the Week Wednesday
Elixir: According to Merriam-Webster Elixir is “a substance held capable of prolonging life indefinitely” and it was also “used in the Middle Ages as the word for a substance believed to be capable of changing base metals into gold.”

Obama Praises Harris at DNC with 75 Days Until Election Day

The Democratic National Convention enters its third day today, with former President Bill Clinton set to deliver a keynote speech before former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi takes the stage.

Yesterday evening, Chicago welcomed Barak Obama to the lectern where the former President spoke of how the US electorate were growing tired of Trumps conduct. Here, the most recent two term president maintained “We don’t need four more years of bluster and chaos” before adding “We’ve seen that movie. And we all know that the sequel’s usually worse.”

Instead, Obama spoke of how a Harris-Waltz administration can continue to progress made under Biden, who he congratulated on his achievements. He said that Democratic nominees “can help us move past some of the tired old debates that keep stifling progress, because at their core, Kamala and Tim understand that when everybody gets a fair shot, we’re all better off”.

As we looked at on Monday, an aggregation of polls conducted by RealClearPolitics points to the incumbent VP holding a margin of 1.4 percentage points, putting her ahead of Trump in the presidential race. Race to the WH and 270toWin also put Harris 2.9 and 1.6 percentage points ahead of the Republican nominee, respectively.

As we enter the third day of the convention, the Democrats will thus try to retain the momentum of the Harris-Walz campaign, particularly seeking to pick up undecided voters (which make up roughly 5% of voters) and those in swing states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia and Arizona.

We will therefore expect to see further praise of Harris at the DNC today, as a variety of speakers try to convince voters that the Democrats are best placed to handle key issues.

According to Statista Research Department, the most important of these issue for voters in the US are inflation (25%), Immigration (11%), Healthcare (10%), Jobs and the Economy (10%) and Abortion (8%).

Turkey Hold Rates Amid Easing Inflation

Yesterday, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey kept their benchmark interest rate unchanged at 50% for the fifth consecutive time, meeting market expectations.

The latest interest rate decision comes as inflation fell by ten percentage points to 62% over the month of July – the second fall in inflation since the final quarter of last year.

Here Policy makers noted that “Through the rebalancing in domestic demand, the real appreciation of the Turkish lira and the improvement in inflation expectations, it will reduce the main trend of monthly inflation and strengthen the disinflation process”.

Nevertheless, with inflation still a far cry from the central bank’s 5% target, Ankara are far from out of the woods.

For some further context, follow the link here.

Gold Prices Hit Record Highs

Gold prices continued to rise yesterday as they appreciated to their highest level on record. Prices rose as high as $2,530 dollars per ounce during yesterday session as investors continued to consider the impact of the Fed’s future monetary pathway. Geopolitical fragility has also supported gold prices as investors and governments alike rush towards the safe-haven asset.

By yesterday’s close, gold was trading at around 32% up on the year, having advanced some 4.5% on the month.

Related
Commentary

Find out how we have helped our clients meet their hedging requirements.

Rick Rieder Flies Under the Radar As New FED Frontrunner

Rick Rieder has rapidly emerged as the leading market-implied candidate to become the next Chair of the Federal Reserve.

American Enforcement in Venezuelan Waters

President Donald Trump has ordered a blockade of sanctioned oil tankers entering and leaving Venezuela, aiming to restrict the Maduro government’s remaining export channels and tighten compliance across the maritime trade network.

US and Japan Reach Trade Agreement

With financial markets remaining on edge over Trump’s ability to secure key trade agreements, a major breakthrough was reached overnight as the United States and Japan concluded a pivotal deal.

Japanese PM Suffers Blow in Upper House Elections

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s ruling coalition suffered a significant blow in Japan’s Upper House election on Sunday...

UK Labour Market Slows

In the latest sign that the UK labour market is continuing to slow down, this morning’s figures from the ONS indicate that unemployment rose as wage growth eased.

UK Inflation Rises Unexpectedly

Just days after the Governor of the Bank of England maintained that he “really [does] believe the path is downward" on interest rates...

North Korea Reaffirms “Unconditional Support” to Russia

This weekend Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov flew into Wonsan to meet Kim Jong Un, with the latter reaffirming North Korea’s “unconditional support” of Russia’s war in Ukraine.

HCFX joins Marex
HCFX joins Marex

A bold leap forward as HCFX joins with Marex

Ready to talk FX?

Get in touch today to see how FX strategy can drive commercial impact for your business.

Contact us