{"id":10812,"date":"2024-10-21T09:37:16","date_gmt":"2024-10-21T08:37:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/?p=10812"},"modified":"2024-10-21T09:40:44","modified_gmt":"2024-10-21T08:40:44","slug":"serial-returners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/serial-returners\/","title":{"rendered":"Serial Returners"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"[ content-section content-section--heading-text ]\">\n  <div class=\"grid-container\">\n    <div class=\"row justify-content-center\">\n      <div class=\"[ col col-12 col-lg-4 col-sd-3 ]\">\n        <h2 class=\"[ content-section__heading content-section__heading--sticky ] js-animate-on-scroll\">Macro Monday: Serial Returners<\/h2>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"[ col col-12 col-lg-8 col-sd-7 ] js-animate-on-scroll\">\n        <p id=\"ember1672\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">According to fresh figures by Retail Economics, \u201cserial returners\u201d are expected to send back a gargantuan \u00a36.7bn worth of products this year and account for around \u00bc of all online returns across the UK. This forms part of a trend which has seen a rise in the number of people that intentionally order excess amounts of goods online only to return a significant amount back. Often, this may involve ordering multiple colours of the same clothing, and keeping just one, if at all.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1673\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">According to Retail Economics, serial returns on average send back as much as \u00a31,400 worth of products each year.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1674\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">The group also found that those aged 18-24 years return approximately twice the number of items as those aged 65 and over. Here they write that \u201cYoung adults have grown up experiencing fierce rivalry between retailers and changing consumer rights. They have witnessed the balance of power shift away from retailers towards consumers, to a point where return volumes now pose a &#8216;significant headache&#8217; for many retailers; not just from a profit standpoint, but also in returning unwanted products back into the supply line.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1675\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">Such a dynamic however puts ever more stress on the reverse logistical supply chain, adding ever more complexity. Moreover, as the UK\u2019s online retail sector becomes more prevalent, such issues could become more prevalent.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1676\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">On Friday, we learnt that the proportion of online sales rose to 27.5% in August 2024 to 27.7% in September 2024, up from a pre-pandemic level of just under 20%.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"[ content-section content-section--heading-text ]\">\n  <div class=\"grid-container\">\n    <div class=\"row justify-content-center\">\n      <div class=\"[ col col-12 col-lg-4 col-sd-3 ]\">\n        <h2 class=\"[ content-section__heading content-section__heading--sticky ] js-animate-on-scroll\">PBoC Cut Benchmark Rate to Fresh Record Low Amid Growth Concerns<\/h2>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"[ col col-12 col-lg-8 col-sd-7 ] js-animate-on-scroll\">\n        <p id=\"ember1678\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">This morning the People\u2019s Bank of China cut their 1-year loan prime rate (LPR) to fresh lows, amid growth concerns. Here, the central bank cut the benchmark interest rate 25bps from 3.35% to 3.1% with five-year rate also being cut 25bps from 3.85% to 3.6%.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1679\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">The decision follows the PBoC\u2019s decision to cut rates 10bps in July and comes as the central bank tries to keep monetary conditions loose in an attempt to stimulate growth across the economy.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1680\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">In Q2, China economy grew just 0.7% and rose only marginally by a further 0.9% over Q3.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1681\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">Beijing continues to grapple with an economy facing headwinds in the form of a downturn in consumption, fragility in local government debt and a precarious property sector.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1682\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">Subdued demand has led to easing inflation, which manifested itself in last week\u2019s CPI and RPI figures. Here, CPI came in at 0.4% on an annualised basis for the month of September against a consensus which was pointing to a 0.6% print. As we looked at last week, this follows a period of four consecutive months of deflation recorded in China between October 2023 and January 2024.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1683\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">Meanwhile, China\u2019s Producer Price Index came in negative, falling 1.3% an annualised basis for the month of September.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"[ content-section content-section--heading-text ]\">\n  <div class=\"grid-container\">\n    <div class=\"row justify-content-center\">\n      <div class=\"[ col col-12 col-lg-4 col-sd-3 ]\">\n        <h2 class=\"[ content-section__heading content-section__heading--sticky ] js-animate-on-scroll\">Middle East<\/h2>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"[ col col-12 col-lg-8 col-sd-7 ] js-animate-on-scroll\">\n        <p id=\"ember1686\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">Tensions continued to rise in the Middle East over the weekend, with Israel conducting fresh strikes across Lebanon \u2013 including its capital Beirut. The IDF have said that they have targeted multiple locations of the bank, Al-Qard al-Hassan, which they say is being used to support Hezbollah. (The bank has been sanctioned by the US since 2007).<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1687\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">As the BBC\u2019s Hugo Bachega writes \u201cthe attacks appear to mark an expansion of Israel\u2019s war against the group, going beyond military infrastructure used by the group.\u201d<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to fresh figures by Retail Economics, \u201cserial returners\u201d are expected to send back a gargantuan \u00a36.7bn worth of products this year and account for around \u00bc of all online returns across the UK.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":2297,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"rp-language":[16],"class_list":["post-10812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-updates","rp-language-en_gb"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10812","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10812"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10812\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10815,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10812\/revisions\/10815"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2297"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10812"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10812"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10812"},{"taxonomy":"rp-language","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hamiltoncourtfx.com\/it\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rp-language?post=10812"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}